January 30, 2006

Hamas, Fatah, Israel, and the Military-Industrial Complex

The election in Palastine last week will have ramfications not only across the middle-east, but also around the world. This is a very large statement to make, especially less then a week after the election, but I feel that once I lay out the logics, it will be clear as to why I feel this way.

As I see it, only three things can occur in the territories. Their can be a civil war, the two parties can form a coalition government, or hamas can take power (which they legitamitely won). In each of these situations, the Isaeli election most be considered. If their is a civil war, Israel will have an urban civil war on its’ border. If their is a coalition, Hamas will have power (legitamacy), and Israel will have a government that espouses its’ destruction on its border. If Hamas controls the entire governments, then it will be the same as the previous arguement, and perhaps even stronger.

In all three of these situations, I feel Israel will move to the right in the general elections. I do not pretend to be an expert in israeli electoral politics, but when a nation has a newly created enemy on its border, it seems to me that the country will move to the right, and elect a party such as likud.

Likud, and other conservative Israeli parties are great friends of the american military-industrial complex. In doing so, they will buy american arms, and because of how entrenched congress is with AIPAC, it is likely that the israeli’s will get an export licence for their arms. So, what is the gist of this? Buy defense stocks.

Tags: — Daniel Kimerling @ 3:10 pm |

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